• Pulse is scheduled to discuss “Operational Highlights” on a conference call at 4:30 pm today (Tuesday May 8th). In the past I have highlighted such calls which companies used to create very sharp price spikes. There are some obvious new developments emerging at Pulse.
  • Over the past year, critical developments with Pulse have now unfolded exactly opposite to what was required in the short theses. These developments now provide very strong support and clues for the near term LONG thesis
  • Billionaire Bob Duggan has nearly doubled his position and now owns 35% of Pulse. Duggan continued to buy even as the share price rose to over $28.00 (nearly 40% above current levels).
  • Many are unaware that three of the four newly appointed Pulse board members actually came from Duggan’s Pharmacyclics. That background information was included in in the text but not in the table Pulse’s proxy statement. Pharmacyclics was the company which Duggan turned around from a tiny $15 million market cap and sold to AbbVie for $20 BILLION just a few years later. These newly appointed Pulse directors are his lieutenants.
  • As Duggan’s lieutenants were installed at Pulse, other directors associated with MDB Capital then stepped down from Pulse’s board. This now frees MDB parties to sell without restrictions. These parties are now massively incentivized to see a near term spike in Pulse. MDB founder Chris Marlett owns 4.8% of Pulse. Certainly large enough to care, yet just small enough to be able to sell (on a spike) without requiring any disclosure.
  • Short interest has quietly spiked to the highest level in Pulse’s history, now amounting to 2.1 million shares. Fully 40% of the free float is sold short. Following a recent short report, short interest may actually be even higher.
  • Remember: Troubled fundamentals do not always equate to an attractive short trade. With Pulse, I have nothing positive to say about: the fundamentals, the technology or the parties involved. Yet I can see that the stock will soon head sharply higher. Similar to Energous (WATT), near-term triple-digit price spikes are in no way dependent upon near-term commercialization of the technology.
  • There are multiple strategic avenues which Duggan could announce now or in the near future. These include alternate FDA approval paths as well as new asset injections. Any of these should be expected to have a significant impact on the share price, which would then be sharply magnified by the 40% short interest and low float.
  • Such announcements could happen sooner, later, or never. But starting today there is a series of possible dates on which we could potentially see this happen. Regardless of one’s view of a long position in Pulse, a short position is now downright reckless.

This report is the opinion of the author. The author is LONG PLSE. The author may conduct transactions on various securities mentioned in this report (or on securities of competitors of other comparable companies, securities etc.) within the next 72 hours. 

 

Summary

  • In Oct 2017, shares of ABEO hit a new high of $19.55 following the release of seemingly positive data in its clinical trial for MPS-III.
  • ABEO quickly used that strength to raise money in an equity offering at $16 in October.
  • But when additional data was released last week, ABEO quickly began to plunge every day.
  • “Smart money” investors now realized that Cohort 1 data had been badly manipulated to show optimal results.
  • Out of a three person Cohort, one patient was given an arbitrary “floor score” for a cognitive test – precluding any real chance of further declines in cognitive ability. Another patient was removed from the trial altogether.  
  • This information was not made clear in October at the time of the equity offering
  • In addition, Cohort 2 data was visibly mixed, with the strongest results coming from a disputed test method and with very negative indications coming from the industry standard test
  • The leading industry journal specifically recommends two different tests than the one being used by ABEO. The non recommended test is the one which analysts continue to cite as indication of strong results.
  • The investors who have figured this out have been selling heavily every day since that data was released on Feb 8th.
  • Yet sell side analysts continue to put positive spin on the results by focusing on a single “outlier” to explain negative results.

Summary In over 100 articles I have seldom used the word fraud to describe concerns. I reserve that word for the very worst situations where I have the highest confidence. Within a few months after I expressed my fraud concerns on Osiris, we saw a CEO resignation, sweeping restatement of inaccurate financials and a criminal…

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Summary Nymox withheld the data that Phase 3 trials of its only drug had failed for 6-12 months after management knew of the failure. During this time, Nymox issued bullish press releases while management continued to aggressively dump stock without timely SEC disclosure. Offshore anonymous Panamanian finance deals; auditor, legal counsel, bankers ALL closely tied…

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Summary Since I last highlighted fraud concerns at Osiris, the stock has fallen by 40%. I expect an additional 50% drop based on new catalysts. The CEO has since resigned unexpectedly. Osiris is unable to file its 10K and has now received a NASDAQ deficiency notice. Last week, Osiris’ head of sales has just been…

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Summary Advaxis stock has recently quadrupled from $3 to as high as $13. Management has a history of promotional and misleading activities, including heavy use of the Dream Team Group. Tumor response data for its lead candidate has been mis-presented to overstate effectiveness. ADXS-HPV has demonstrated notably inferior survival rates vs. alternatives. Over 3 million…

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Summary Regulus is a retail heavy stock which has recently tripled on mere Phase I results. Regulus’ drug is not a one shot cure for Hep C and is inferior to Gilead’s Harvoni. As the stock has spiked, insiders and partners have been very quick to dump large amounts of stock. This article is the…

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Summary The fallout from stock promotions can far outweigh the prospects for a promising drug. Responses (and denials) from management are best viewed with a large grain of salt. There are often significant and far reaching consequences that are often unexpected. Back in March, I wrote a detailed article about a stock promotion campaign being conducted by…

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Summary Northwest Bio has been the subject of a massive promotional campaign which has seen the stock price soar. Many of the authors involved have close hidden ties to promotional firm MDM Worldwide and / or Redfish Creative. In some cases, authors have used fictitious identities and fake credentials within healthcare or finance. In fact…

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Summary Investors and analysts have overestimated the market size for SBC-102 by at least 3-9x. Most sufferers of CESD can be treated by proper diet and common statins (i.e. Lipitor) without the need for a $300,000 drug. Management has now sold 95% of its stock, reducing combined holdings to less than 1% of outstanding –…

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The following is a partial list of archived articles on CytRx which have been removed from circulation.  I expect to continue uploading additional articles on CytRx and other Dream Team clients going forward. sa_cytr_2013_12_12_JohnMylant sa_cytr_2013_11_19_JohnMlyant sa_cytr_2013_10_13_JohnMlyant wscs_cytr_2014_02-04_JohnRivers wscs_cytr_2014_02_03_JamesRatz wscs_cytr_2014_01_22_JamesRatz wscs_cytr_2013_12_18_TomMeyer wscs_cytr_2013_12_16_JamesRatz wscs_cytr_2013_12_13_JamesRatz wscs_cytr_2013_12_11_TomMeyer wscs_cytr_2013_12_05_TomMeyer wscs_cytr_2013_10_01_TomMeyer

My last short article discussed Farmer Brothers Coffee (FARM) and since that time, the stock has come off by nearly 20% without much of a bounce. Prior to that, I discussed Unilife (UNIS), which is now down by 15-20% for largely the reasons I predicted. Before that, I highlighted unacknowledged and low-priced product competition for…

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Organovo Holdings (ONVO) has doubled in the past two weeks and now sports a market cap in excess of $1 billion with a share price of $12-13. The company has 58 cents per share in cash following an equity raise at $4.50 in July. Aside from that, total assets for the company amount to just $1 million. The company currently has no products on the market, but hopes to launch a 3D liver assay in December 2014. However, detailed market analysis reveals that total market potential for this product is only a few million dollars. There are already competing 3D liver assays on the market which sell for as little as $1,750. Swiss company Insphero reveals that the market size for these assays is at most a few thousand units per year. The stock has recently doubled due to a tremendous wave of articles which suggest that Organovo is on the cusp of generating hundreds of millions of dollars in near term revenues. The stock is held 93% in retail hands and has no institutional research coverage. As investors realize that the best case if for $3-5 million in revenues over the next 3 years, the stock should be due for a meaningful correction. Meanwhile, insiders have been selling millions in stock and have filed a massive S8 registration statement by which they can award themselves 11 million more shares, valued at $130 million. Additional concerns are highlighted herein. In the near term, Organovo should be expected to drop by around 50%, returning to the $5-7 level where it was just two weeks ago.

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